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Raid Item and TM Drop Rates in Pokemon GO Detailed

Based on this survey here, you can learn a thing or two about the raid item drop rates. These are self-reported in a survey so there may be some error here, but with over 1,400 responses they will give a good idea to a question I have seen on here a lot. I haven't seen this information put up yet for people to see, so I figured I would.

Raid Tier
0 TM
1 TM
2+ TM
1
89%
9%
~1%
2
86%
13%
~1%
3
60%
30%
10%
4
36%
35%
29%

This is the TM drop rate. As you can see with higher tiers, the drop rates get significantly better. It should be noted however that each raid tier had a small percentage of people report 3, 4, and 5+ TM received but at higher percentages at higher raid levels. Feel free to look at the survey results for more details.

With both Golden Razz Berries and Rare Candies, there was a wider range of possible drops. The higher raids did show better drops though as you can see in the tables below. Again be sure to check out the link to the survey results for more detail.

Raid Tier
0 Golden Razz
1-3 Golden Razz
4-6 Golden Razz
7-8 Golden Razz
9+ Golden Razz
1
24%
73%
3%
~1%
~0%
2
22%
45%
30%
3%
~0%
3
13%
29%
34%
15%
9%
4
10%
24%
39%
18%
9%

Raid Tier
0 Candy
1-2 Candy
3-4 Candy
5-6 Candy
7+ Candy
1
21%
68%
11%
~0%
~0%
2
20%
66%
13%
~1%
~0%
3
17%
32%
32%
14%
5%
4
12%
28%
34%
18%
7%

The bottom line is if you can do higher level raids, the rewards make it worthwhile. Good luck raiding out there!.